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    Is the new year a good time to consider your investments?

    With a fresh year underway, it could be the perfect time to review your investments and consider if there are any adjustments you should be making given the current challenging financial market.

    With huge amounts of uncertainty due to various reasons including the cost-of-living crisis, recession and the ongoing crisis in Ukraine, it can be tempting to make changes to your investments or look to withdraw them out of fear. However, as the well-known golden rule of investment states, “time in the market beats timing the market!”.

    What should I do?

    Although often difficult, it is important to ride out a negative market cycle where possible. There may be circumstances where access is unavoidably required, but investors must generally hold their nerve and remain focused on the long-term objectives.

    If an investor finds themselves in a phase of accumulation, ongoing investment contributions benefit from market volatility as, when markets fall, investors can often buy more units for their money. Regular investors can benefit from pound cost averaging to potentially smooth out market volatility. Fewer units are purchased when prices are high, but more units when prices are low.

    Investors who find themselves in a decumulation phase (i.e. those who are accessing their portfolio) must be ready to play the waiting game as it is typically better to ride out market cycles rather than try to time them. Those who exit the markets temporarily could find themselves buying back in after markets recover, which can be risky.

    If you are close to, or have reached your de-cumulation phase, you should hold a contingency fund to ensure any capital requirements can be satisfied from cash, rather than risk selling down part of an investment portfolio at a bad time. It is also important to consider retaining cash to provide the liquidity to fuel ongoing income requirements for a set period, reducing the risk of having to sell down for liquidity purposes during periods of volatility.

    Summary

    Investors should remind themselves why they are investing, have a plan in place and bravely ‘ride out’ a difficult market cycle – holding cash for contingency and shorter-term liquidity can help with this.

    Meanwhile, diversification across assets is also important to ensure you have a portfolio capable of withstanding a negative market cycle. This means including assets which are likely to do well during economic growth, but also some that are likely to do better in difficult times. It is usually a good idea to include a broad mix of equities, bonds and some alternatives. It may also be wise to consider a variety of sectors and themes too.

    Get in touch

    As always, every individual situation is different, and it is vital to get advice based on your exact circumstances when considering any type of investment. PM+M’s Managed Portfolio Service, is a bespoke investment portfolio produced by us, and managed in collaboration with AJ Bell, to make your life easier. At PM+M, we are currently having a rethink of our house asset allocation (blend of investments) and will shortly be implementing these changes for our clients as we plan forwards for them.

    If you would like to discuss your investments in more detail, or need some tailored advice specific to your situation, please get in touch by emailing financialplanning@pmm.co.uk or by calling 01254 679131.

    The value of investments can fall as well as rise. You may not get back what you invest.

    The information contained within this article is for guidance only and does not constitute advice which should be sought before taking any action or inaction.

    How to plan financially for a recession

    With forecasts predicting the UK is facing the prospect of a challenging two-year recession, inflation rising at a record rate and the cost of living crisis ever widening, as part of our recession resilience series, we consider some of the ways you can look to prepare financially.

    If possible, save an emergency fund

    During a recession, the risk of redundancy is unfortunately higher and this coupled with factors such as household bills continuing to rise, means it is extremely sensible to have an emergency fund available if at all possible. The ideal would be 6 – 12 months’ worth of expenses but obviously any amount is better than nothing.

    If you are able to raise an emergency fund, it can provide some much-needed peace of mind that you would be able to survive without having to take on additional debts or get in arrears with any bills. It is also important to remember that there can sometimes be unexpected events which arise and require immediate funds at short notice, such as damage to your property or vital car repairs.

    If saving an emergency fund is not an option, which is the case for many right now, then it is always worth looking closely at your everyday expenses to see if there are any savings that can be made there, although these may only be small individually, it can soon add up if there are a few.

    Review your investments

    Considering historical data, we know that stocks tend to rise right into a recession and fall during it. However, it’s impossible to forecast, as both markets and economies are unpredictable.

    It is important to understand that the market can be volatile, and you should aim to focus on the long term. Our Managed Portfolio Service is a bespoke investment portfolio produced by us, and managed in collaboration with AJ Bell, to make your life easier.

    Of course, when a recession is predicted, it is completely normal to worry about your investments. Working together, we continually monitor the market, conducting ongoing due diligence and proactively making fund and asset allocation changes when we feel it is necessary to manage volatility and drive long term growth.

    If you do have spare cash, there could be an opportunity to buy whilst markets are devalued; this could represent good long-term value.

    However, if your cash isn’t available to invest for at least 5 years, it’s worthwhile reviewing bank interest rates to ensure that you are capturing the most efficient return.

    Examine your mortgage

    Look ahead and speak to a mortgage expert before there are changes in your circumstances or any fixed rates come to an end. Unfortunately, it is looking likely for many that a rise in interest rates is inevitably going to lead to higher mortgage payments so it is sensible to start looking now at ways you are potentially going to be able to manage this. It may be necessary to look closely at your monthly expenses so see if there are any possible savings to be made which could cover a rate rise.

    Are you protected?

    Most people’s greatest asset is their income so in uncertain times, it’s more important than ever to make sure you are protected if you were to become unable to work because of illness or injury. Income protection or critical illness cover could provide a vital financial lifeline to you and your family should the worst happen and you become too ill to work.

    Another one to consider could be mortgage life insurance which would provide a lump sum to your family if you were to die prematurely. This could remove the huge burden of having to cover the remainder of the mortgage debt for your family in this difficult situation.

    Think carefully about your pension

    When faced with difficult financial challenges, it could be that your pension is low down on your priority list but this could prove to be a costly mistake in the long run. Your pension provides a great, tax efficient way to save and it is important to protect it, even when cutting back on your contributions could make life easier in other areas.

    If you are getting close to retirement and are concerned that your pension fund may have decreased in value because of the falling stock market then speak to your pension provider, for most, this shouldn’t be a problem as the level of risk for a pension portfolio decreases as you get closer to retirement age.

    If you don’t already have a pension, it could be a good time to consider starting one as if you look to invest while the stock market is low, it can provide more opportunity for higher returns in the longer term.

    Summary

    There is no doubt that the coming months are going to be a huge challenge for many but considering some of the above factors in advance and being pro-active with planning for the worst, could make a huge difference to your financial outlook long term.

    Get in touch

    For further information or advice, contact a member of our financial planning team today to talk through your personal circumstances, email enquiries@pmm.co.uk or call 01254 679131.

    A comment to note that the article does not constitute personalised advice and that advice should be sought before taking any action.