Trumping the market!

shutterstock_353116961The vote is in and Donald Trump has been voted President, words perhaps few people expected to read this morning and a deja vu feeling of Brexit!

Whilst investors and markets would undoubtedly have preferred the more stable influence of Hilary Clinton, Trump as President might not be a disaster. It is worth noting that the power of the President’s Office is limited by the Constitution, through the chambers of Congress and the Supreme Court. The Federal Reserve also remains independent.

So what does Trump mean for investors?  Initially, as we saw with Brexit, markets are likely to be volatile and we have already seen falls in the Asian markets overnight; the FTSE is currently down 1.2%. During volatile markets, and especially when you may be showing some short-term losses on investments, it is tempting to sell and wait for the markets to improve before reinvesting.

It is perhaps useful to look at market patterns and history before making the decision to sell.  According to Fidelity International, an investor who invested in the FTSE All Share Index for the last fifteen years, but missed the best ten days would have achieved an annualised return of 1.46%, against 5.69% by those investors that remained invested. Missing the best forty days reduced your annualised return to -5.62!

Often the largest returns are achieved shortly after these falls, so the message is simple. Provided you have a clear investment strategy and review process in place, you should hold your nerve and investments, and over the medium and longer term you will be rewarded.

Like a game of Top Trumps, if you hold the quality cards you win over the longer term.

For a review of your pension and investments, please contact Antony Keen by emailing antony.keen@pmm.co.uk or by calling 01254 679131.